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ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 PM PDT TUE SEP 3 2013 FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC...EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.. 1. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED OFF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES SOUTH OF MANZANILLO. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN SOMEWHAT LIMITED AND NOT VERY STRONG. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW...AND THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS IF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS ABLE TO INCREASE AND BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS WHILE IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT... HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO FORECASTER PASCH
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